The new El Niño weather phenomenon is likely to happen this winter - 1BiTv.com

The new El Niño weather phenomenon is likely to happen this winter

According to the World Meteorological Organization, the probability of repeating El Niño before the end of this year is 70%


The new El Niño weather phenomenon is likely to happen this winter


The last El Niño event occurred in 2015-16 and affected weather conditions around the world.
Researchers say they do not expect that this new one will be as intense as 2015-16.
According to WMO, climate change affects the traditional dynamics of weather events.
El Niño / South Wave to give its correct name is a natural event that is associated with the volatile ocean surface temperatures in the Pacific that affect the weather around the world.
2015-16 El Niño was one of the strongest ever recorded and had an impact on global temperatures, resulting in 2016 entered the record book as the warmest year.
In addition to the heat, this event also led to a drought in Africa, which led to a sharp drop in food production in many countries of the continent. In South America, floods occurred in Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay.
This year began with the opposite of El Niño, the so-called La Niña phase. This temperature was below the average surface water temperature in the Pacific Ocean.
Now this phenomenon has disappeared, and, according to the WMO models, by the end of this year the probability of another El Niño is 70%. However, it is expected that this will have less impact than in 2015-16.
"WMO does not expect the Expected El Niño to be as powerful as the 2015-2016 event, but it will still have significant consequences," said WMO Secretary-General Petteri Taalas.
"An early prediction of this event will help save many lives and significant economic losses," he added.
The impact of climate change

For the first time, WMO linked the El Niño update to the global seasonal climate forecast for the September-November period.
The forecast says that temperatures above normal surface temperatures are predicted almost throughout the Asia-Pacific region, Europe, North America, Africa and most of the coastal South America.
Although El Niño events usually occur every five to seven years, the repetition of this phenomenon, so close to the previous one, suggests that climate change may have consequences.
"Climate change affects the traditional dynamics of the El Niño and La Niña phenomena, as well as their impact," Petteri Taalas said.
"2018 began with the weak La Niña event, but its cooling effect was not enough to reduce the overall warming trend, which means that this year will be one of the warmest in history."
Separately, the Japanese Meteorological Bureau stated that there is a 60% chance that the weather will be in the autumn in the northern hemisphere from September to November.


10.09.2018 17:35:59
(Automatic translation)






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